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Kansas Winter Wheat Forecast Down 19 Percent from 2017
Kansas Ag Connection - 05/11/2018

Based on May 1 conditions, Kansas's 2018 winter wheat crop is forecast at 270 million bushels, down 19 percent from last year's crop, according to the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service. Average yield is forecast at 37 bushels per acre, down 11 bushels from last year. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 7.30 million acres, up 350,000 acres from last year. This would be 95 percent of the planted acres, above last year's 91 percent harvested.

U.S winter wheat production is forecast at 1.19 billion bushels, down 6 percent from 2017. As of May 1, the United States yield is forecast at 48.1 bushels per acre, down 2.1 bushels from last year.

May 1 Kansas hay stocks of 870,000 tons are down 30 percent from last year.

All hay stored on United States farms May 1, 2018, totaled 15.7 million tons, down 36 percent from a year ago. Disappearance from December 1, 2017 - May 1, 2018, totaled 70.6 million tons, compared with 71.4 million tons for the same period a year earlier.

Lower production in 2017, coupled with a higher cattle inventory as of January 1, 2018, has reduced the available hay stocks on May 1, 2018, compared to the same time last year. April snow in the Northern Plains, and dry pasture conditions stretching from the Southwest to the Southern Plains, have extended supplemental feeding, further reducing available hay stocks.

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